‘Contradictory’ Public Opinions on Iran Are Baked Into CBS’s Polling
The truth that pollsters/media don’t want to acknowledge is that on any given issue, a significant portion of the public is simply not engaged.
David W. Moore
Gallup Ends Presidential Approval Polling After 88 Years—Likely Because a President Disapproved
Gallup’s extensive database had allowed journalists to compare approval ratings among all presidents since Franklin D. Roosevelt at various stages of their tenure.
How Scripps Turned Public Disengagement Into ‘Strong Support’ for Deportation
By exploiting a lack of information, pollsters create the illusion of strong public support.
Both Opposition to and Support for Ukraine Aid May Be Less Than Polls Show
Polls wildly overstate how engaged Americans are on the Ukraine issue–overstating opposition, as well as support.
‘Millennials Moved Right’: NYT Cherry-Picks Data to Bolster Political Folklore
Left-lurching oldsters did not fit the preconceived theme like the right-sliding youngsters. So…leave them out of the analysis.
ABC/WaPo Poll Creates Illusion of Public Opinion on Debt Ceiling
The poll cannot accurately represent public views on the debt ceiling, but reflects the manipulation built into the questionnaire design.
What Fox’s Bad Calls on Election Night 2020 Say About 2024
The main advantage in avoiding any in-person exit polling is lower cost, rather than any increase in quality.
Early Polling Tells You Little About Next Year’s GOP Primary
Should we really pay attention to national primary polls 11 months ahead of the first contest?The obvious answer, of course, is no.
In 2022 Midterms, Media Were Again Misled by Generic Ballot
Journalists typically treat the generic ballot as though it predicts the actual percentage of seats each party will win.
Media Misled on Issues Important to Midterm Voters
Analyzing what happened, based on actual data, is much more insightful than predicting what might happen.
The Persistently Faulty Record of Generic Ballot Polling
In midterm elections, the president’s party typically loses House seats, especially in the president’s first term, and in particular when the president’s approval rating is low. Given President Joe Biden’s current low approval rating, and that this is his first midterm, the expectation has been for a bad election year for Democrats—as epitomized by the […]
Manufacturing ‘Crisis’: How Polling on the Border Exaggerates Extreme Opinions
Two media polls on immigration announced results that seemed almost willful efforts to portray the public as extremists.
Media Trust, Polling and the Big Lie
Blaming the mainstream media for people believing the Big Lie is almost as preposterous as the Big Lie itself.
National Polls, State Ballots Measure Different ‘Public Opinions’
The New York Times’ Nate Cohn argues that voters don’t really mean what they tell pollsters about guns.
Politico Paints Gen X as ‘Trumpiest Generation’—on Flimsiest Evidence
On Biden’s and Trump’s favorable ratings, Gen Xers find themselves mostly in the middle among generations.
Polling on Abortion Opinion Misses How Much Would Be Tossed Out With Roe
Public opinion against the pending Supreme Court decision is likely even more lopsided than what most poll stories report.
Manufacturing Opinion on Lifting Title 42 Border Restrictions
Once respondents have been given specific information, they no longer represent the larger population they are supposed to represent,
Don’t Trust Polls on ‘Don’t Say Gay’
These polls are measuring respondents’ reactions after being exposed to only a portion of the Florida law’s provisions.
What Polls About a Ukraine ‘No-Fly Zone’ Really Tell Us
Nearly three in 10 who say enforcing a no-fly zone is a good idea also say they oppose the US shooting down Russian military planes.
Polling on Issues People Know Little About Creates Illusion of Public Opinion
Since most people don’t know how the president is addressing these issues, the results tell us almost nothing about public opinion on them.
